BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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East Carolina

Class: 1 Class Rank: 95 Conference: American Athletic Record: (11-5) Overall: (20-9) Overall Strength =   47.20

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-07-2022 Home    W    42.75  71  35    1 361 (  3- 26) S Carolina St          -4.10 *   40.10                      
  2 11-10-2022 Home    L    38.25  46  57    1  68 ( 16- 16) Wake Forest            -8.61     -2.39                      
  3 11-13-2022 Home    W    46.96  76  49    1 329 (  5- 24) UNC Wilmington          0.10 *   26.90                      
  4 11-16-2022 Home    W    38.77  65  54 1  1 257 ( 17- 14) High Point             -8.09     19.09                      
  5 11-20-2022 Home    W    41.92  64  31    1 358 (  5- 25) Charleston So          -4.94 *   37.94                      
  6 11-26-2022 Neutral W    50.28  72  64    1 121 ( 23-  7) Liberty                 3.43      4.57                      
  7 11-27-2022 Away    L    36.20  50  72    1  59 ( 15- 15) Virginia              -10.66    -11.34                      
  8 12-01-2022 Away    L    27.25  41  54    1 181 ( 16- 15) George Mason          -19.60      6.60                      
  9 12-04-2022 Home    W    49.80  69  51    1 219 (  7- 22) VCU                     2.94     15.06                      
 10 12-06-2022 Home    W    47.13  67  41    1 317 (  9- 19) MD E Shore              0.27     25.73                      
 11 12-15-2022 Away    L    33.24  59  67    1 159 ( 29-  4) Gardner Webb          -13.61      5.61                      
 12 12-19-2022 Home    W    61.39  79  49    1 235 ( 18- 11) NC A&T                 14.54     15.46                      
 13 12-21-2022 Away    W    36.95  64  60    1 267 ( 11- 17) Hampton                -9.91     13.91                      
 14 12-30-2022 Home    L *  34.03  47  55    1 110 ( 17- 12) Tulsa                 -12.83      4.83                      
 15 01-03-2023 Away    W *  63.57  55  47    1  70 ( 19-  9) Memphis                16.71     -8.71                      
 16 01-08-2023 Home    W *  54.98  63  53    1  92 ( 17- 12) Tulane                  8.12      1.88                      
 17 01-11-2023 Away    W *  66.87  72  51    1 116 ( 11- 17) Temple                 20.02      0.98                      
 18 01-14-2023 Away    L *  50.14  66  68 1  1  79 ( 16- 11) SMU                     3.28     -5.28                      
 19 01-18-2023 Home    W *  43.58  61  53    1 170 (  9- 20) Cincinnati             -3.28     11.28                      
 20 01-21-2023 Away    W *  55.52  66  57    1 120 ( 16- 13) Wichita St              8.67      0.33                      
 21 01-25-2023 Home    L *  42.45  53  61    1  70 ( 19-  9) Memphis                -4.41     -3.59                      
 22 01-31-2023 Away    L *  37.43  48  72    1  34 ( 26-  5) South Florida          -9.43    -14.57                      
 23 02-04-2023 Away    W *  55.33  68  54    1 153 ( 13- 14) UCF                     8.47      5.53                      
 24 02-08-2023 Home    W *  55.75  67  52    1 116 ( 11- 17) Temple                  8.90      6.10                      
 25 02-12-2023 Home    W *  58.40  79  62    1 120 ( 16- 13) Wichita St             11.55      5.45                      
 26 02-15-2023 Away    W *  51.70  68  57    1 170 (  9- 20) Cincinnati              4.85      6.15                      
 27 02-18-2023 Home    W *  42.21  63  57    1 153 ( 13- 14) UCF                    -4.65     10.65                      
 28 02-22-2023 Home    W *  53.88  88  83 3  1  69 ( 13- 15) Houston                 7.02     -2.02                      
 29 02-25-2023 Away    L *  42.10  56  64    1  92 ( 17- 12) Tulane                 -4.76     -3.24                      
      Averages              46.86  63.6 56.2

Best game:   66.87 = 21 point win over Temple
Worst game:  27.25 = 13 point loss to George Mason
Team stdev:   9.84